Wrangler Value Model
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Demo data · Wrangler Trucking · 5-year value

Dispatch and ticket value range

Hours, revenue and people Wrangler gets back when calls are answered, jobs are booked complete, and tickets are clean. Start with the stages below. The math behind every number follows further down.

Presenter · type in Wrangler's numbers

Their numbers

Type what Wrangler tells you. Each number replaces the low, mid and high for that input, gets tagged WRANGLER, and every section recalculates. Leave a box empty to keep our range. The one pager uses whatever is here.

Demo data · for dispatch, drivers, billing and the board

What comes back to Wrangler at each stage of a job

Full run rate (year 3 onward). Hours are hours your people get back. Revenue is money for work already done that gets billed instead of lost. Profit recaptured adds both.

Demo data

The Wrangler job lifecycle, first call to paid

Nine stages from first call to paid, including the parts and vendors that keep trucks running. Orange dot: Echo 1 is live there in today's demo. Hollow dot: in the build. $: money changes hands.

Where Wrangler pulls ahead. An operator with a load ready calls around. The hauler that answers on the first ring, books it right without a call-back, shows up on time and bills a clean ticket gets the next call. Every turn of the wheel that runs clean makes the next one faster: answered calls fill trucks, complete jobs free the desk, clean tickets get paid sooner, and drivers who are paid right stay to run the next load.

Demo data · Section 1

Cost savings

Money Wrangler stops losing in dispatch, turnover and billing. 5-year totals.

Demo data · Section 2

Sales growth

New accounts the Echo 1 Inside Sales Rep helps win. 5-year totals.

Demo data · Section 3

Cash flow: A/R, A/P and vendors

Echo 1 email, text and phone agents issue invoices, send purchase orders by email, and build a risk profile from each account's communication, payment and delivery history. Crossing a risk threshold starts added collection steps or lead-time checks on parts and materials. 5-year totals.

Demo data · For the board

Capital: velocity, margin, distributions and buying power

Year 3, full run rate. Cash released is working capital that arrives sooner, not profit. Distributable cash is before tax.

Tax strategy. The Echo 1 Labs CPA reviews the plan with Wrangler's tax advisor: timing of distributions and of truck and equipment purchases made with released cash. No tax savings are counted on this page.

Cost savings: without vs with Echo 1, 5 years (demo data)

Cost of the areas Echo 1 touches, for every scenario. Sales growth is shown separately above. Without: today's process carried for 5 years. With: the same costs after the levers, ramped. The buttons switch the chart below the table.

■Without Echo 1■With Echo 1

Inputs (demo data)

Low, mid and high are treated as the 25th, 50th and 75th percentile of each input. Edit any cell; everything recalculates.

DriverLow (P25)Mid (P50)High (P75)Source

Year by year, mid case (demo data)

Ramp: year 1 at 50%, year 2 at 85%, years 3 to 5 at 100% of steady state. Labor values grow with the wage growth input; billing value is held flat.

Monte Carlo, 5,000 runs (demo data)

In plain English. We don't know Wrangler's real numbers yet, so every input has a low, likely and high value. Instead of picking one guess, the model plays out the five years 5,000 times. Each time it rolls the dice on every input, picking somewhere in its range and landing near "likely" most often. The chart shows where those 5,000 outcomes land.
How to read it. P50 is the middle outcome: half the runs came in higher, half lower. P25 means 3 in 4 runs did better than this, so it is the cautious number. P75 means only 1 in 4 runs did better, so it is the stretch number. A narrow chart means the answer holds up even if our guesses are off. A wide chart means a few inputs swing the result, and the sensitivity chart below shows which ones to confirm first.
One line for the room. "We ran it five thousand ways. Here is the cautious case, the middle case, and the two numbers we need from you to tighten it."
Each input is drawn independently through its P25, P50 and P75 points.

Sensitivity: 5-year present value when one input moves from low to high (demo data)

All other inputs held at mid. Longest bars are the numbers to confirm first.

Flags

Industry benchmarks vs this model (pulled Oct 19, 2026)

Strong sources are ATRI, D&B, UGPTI, BLS and the Credit Research Foundation. Rows marked "weak source" come from vendor blogs and are directional only. None of these are Wrangler's numbers.

MetricIndustry benchmarkThis model (low / mid / high)Verdict
Driver annual turnoverSmall truckload fleets 27.1%, large truckload fleets 72.3% (ATRI, 2023 data, published 2024)27.1% / 40% / 72.3%Matches the ATRI range. Wrangler sits between small and large.
Cost to replace one driver$8,234 average, $2,243 to $20,729 range (UGPTI, 1998 data). Planning range today $10k to $15k (inferred)$8,234 / $12,500 / $20,729Matches the documented range.
Dispatcher pay, Texas$18.53 per hour (Indeed, Texas); $46,799 a year, about $22.50 per hour (Salary.com, San Antonio)$16 / $18 / $20 per hourConservative. Fine to keep.
Dispatcher annual turnover20% to 35% (weak source)20% / 27.5% / 35%Matches a weak benchmark. Ask Janice Walleck before showing.
Days to collect (DSO)Trucking 42 to 45 days; oilfield services about 61 days, water services about 74 days (CRF 2025; ops-flo 2026, weak source)Cut of 5 / 10 / 15 daysPlausible. Use 60 days as the working baseline until Tammy Brasher confirms.
Paying lateOil and gas extraction: 58.7% of accounts current, 5.9% over 90 days late (D&B, Q2 2026)n/aSupports the A/R lever. Wrangler's customers are operators.
Bad debt written off0.2% to 1.0% of revenue planning range; no validated sector average0.3% / 0.5% / 1.0%In range.
Field ticket rejections20% to 30% on paper vs about 1% with digital workflows; oilfield invoice disputes 5% to 15% (weak sources)0.5% / 1% / 2% of revenue recoveredConservative.
Truck down time$500 to $800 lost revenue per idle day; missing parts add about 3.4 days per repair (weak sources)3 / 5 / 8 days per truck per yearPlausible.
Unanswered business callsNo reliable 2025 to 2026 figure foundn/aDo not quote a percentage. Measure it in Week 0.

Sources: UGPTI SP-146 · ATRI figures via Actify · D&B A/R Report Q2 2026 · CRF DSO via Monk · Oilfield DSO 2026 · Field ticket rejections · Indeed TX dispatcher pay · Salary.com San Antonio · Parts downtime

Demo data · Company scorecard

Wrangler scorecard with ongoing analysis

Baselines come from Wrangler in week 0. Targets are demo ranges from the mid case and get reset once the baseline is in.

MetricOwnerSourceBaseline90-day target (demo)Review
Calls answered on the first ring, day and nightMatt AwbreyVoice lineWeek 0Every callWeekly
Jobs booked complete, no call-back neededJoe KnoxVoice line, job textsWeek 09 of 10 jobsWeekly
Time from job request to dispatch approvalMatt AwbreyJob texts, dispatch logWeek 0Same hourWeekly
Dispatcher hours on the phone per shiftJoe KnoxVoice line, scheduleWeek 0Down by a quarterWeekly
Tickets with missing or disputed fields per 100Carolina MosquedaTicketing softwareWeek 0Half of baselineWeekly
Days from ticket close to invoice sentCarolina MosquedaTicketing, accountingWeek 0Same dayWeekly
Days from invoice to cashTammy BrasherAccountingWeek 010 fewer daysMonthly
Accounts over the risk threshold, and dollars at riskTammy BrasherA/R agent risk profileWeek 0Every one in a collection stepWeekly
Truck days waiting on parts or materialsLuis SalazarPO follow-up, SamsaraWeek 0Down by 30%Monthly
Driver and dispatcher turnover, rolling 12 monthsJanice WalleckHRWeek 0Trending downQuarterly
Quotes followed up within one business day; new accounts wonGary OlivarezSales line, Inside Sales RepWeek 0Every quoteWeekly
Voice minutes usedFrank YanniVoice platform logsStarts at go-liveTracked, no targetMonthly

Ongoing analysis. Each Monday the scorecard updates from the voice line, ticketing, Samsara and accounting, and flags any metric moving the wrong way with the calls or tickets behind it. Each month leadership gets a one-page view by yard. Each quarter the value model is re-run on Wrangler's actual numbers, so every figure on this page is replaced by measured results.

Implementation

What implementation covers

Sources